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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Charts & Graphs » Technical Analytics & Charts (2)

Technical Analytics & Charts (2)

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1 Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:18 am

traderathome

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Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
First topic message reminder :

CTCN 850/- ...can reach ?  Shocked those on buying spree ...please be patient


881 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Aug 19, 2014 11:09 pm

SHARK aka TAH


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The chart looks like a Symetrical Triangle Has a widest width of Rs 60

882 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 10:11 am

SHARK aka TAH


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JKH started moving up on the break out and up by 6Rs Very Happy

883 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 10:13 am

SHARK aka TAH


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We can target 255 o 260
What you say on a near term Very Happy

With LT target over 280/300

884 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 10:28 am

SHARK aka TAH


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I am holding JKH 1250 shares.
We need to break 248 and 250 respectively to clear RES levels.
That should make 270 a clear RES before approach 300 Very Happy

Discl:i have 1250 shares of JKH Very Happy Avg cost 244Rs

885 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 10:33 am

Gainer


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
SHARK wrote:Dear Gainer,
Here is the Chart on SIL

I think To expect 200 Technically its too much... 160 Range looks decent.
Appreciate your comments on the attached chart.
In my opinion not more than 185 Rs levels.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Thanks SHARK yes it's possible 185

886 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 5:26 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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I bought few LGL as well Very Happy

887 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 5:33 pm

RoomGirl


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Manager - Equity Analytics
SHARK wrote:I am holding JKH 1250 shares.
We need to break 248 and 250 respectively to clear RES levels.
That should make 270 a clear RES before approach 300 Very Happy

Discl:i have 1250 shares of JKH Very Happy Avg cost 244Rs
I need to buy more Very Happy (Thanks for disclosing.)

888 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 9:17 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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Janus Exit... will ease selling pressure Very Happy

889 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 11:00 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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890 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 20, 2014 11:08 pm

sampath.anuradha


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
what about :DIAL"

891 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 21, 2014 12:28 am

SHARK aka TAH

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LIOC
Support 1---->39.30
Support 2---->37.90
Support 3---->37.30

127Fib :35.00 Reversal
161.8Fib :32.30 Reversal

Target 44+
Target 50+ Longterm

892 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 21, 2014 10:30 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Will JKH break 248 interim RES Very Happy

893 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 21, 2014 12:51 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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SHARK wrote:Will JKH break 248 interim RES Very Happy
Go baby go 250 is in sight cheers 

894 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 21, 2014 11:57 pm

VALUEPICK

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SHARK wrote:
SHARK wrote:Will JKH break 248 interim RES Very Happy
Go baby go 250 is in sight cheers 

This stock to has more leg. As long as major uptrend is intact not only JKH other stocks also will go up. Good luck!

895 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 22, 2014 11:55 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Dear Members,

I feel i should put few words of caution, as its always to be remembered especially when Market is in positive uptrend.What we should not forget is people or members who were hard done by the previous are relieved as their PF are making a turnaround.
These days we are seeing many Warrants and Speculative shares skyrocketing on reasons known to all of us.
What we need to realise is that what has fundamentally changed in those companies from past to present. Is it the profit, The revenue or strategies to reduce their operational costs.
If nothing is changed then there is a very good chance that share prices appreciated on some news or speculation.
Speculation can be dangerous if done without having good experience.
We do not know where the reversal would be, and your hard earned money would either get stucked or lost entirely.
As a responsible individual in the forum Mod panel i do not encourage, to go behind getting rich quick approach.
I may be talking nonsense to few, but majority should take this as a word of caution.
I always felt better when the market is in Bearish mode, so that we could build a nice portfolio collecting our Favourite shares at a very low or bargain price.
Finally do not do excessive trading on speculative shares, it makes your broker rich and all your gains will be lost on 1 or few trades as it needs greater accuracy.
Some may be good at it, but believe me lots of you including me will loose.
The forum is not a fly by night, and its members should be for the long haul and not to vanish after their gambling approach.
They should build a sound portfolio, based on real companies with real future growth.
Dont be upset that you missed certain companies shares just because it jumped from few cents to few Rupees.
Learn to let go and be content with fundamentally strong counters that would give reasonable return to supplement your fixed income.

Good luck
SHARK

896 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 22, 2014 12:01 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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This is where we can do bit of meditation, mind relaxing activities, to avoid excessive monitoring the stock market.
Just few minutes in the morning and closing time should do. Very Happy

897 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 22, 2014 6:25 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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898 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 22, 2014 6:26 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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just for the Weekend Very Happy

899 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 22, 2014 6:37 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Can I expect a Short Term appreciation towards 42Rs to touch the Upper.

This one is really interesting to watch the next Week Direction Very Happy

I am Saying with todays candle, it will move UP .....
The MACD is turning and looking positive divergence even if drops below last LOW.
RSI is also same with Positive BUY territory.

Really next week should give some hint of further direction.

Please DYODD

900 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 22, 2014 6:38 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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ooops forgot to disclose i have only 7500 of LIOC Very Happy

901 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 22, 2014 8:10 pm

fireshelter

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Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
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How can i add point to reputation

902 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 22, 2014 8:16 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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@fireshelter wrote:How  can i add point to reputation


[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

903 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:00 am

SHARK aka TAH

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904 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 1:04 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Pitbull - Fireball Very Happy

905 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 3:49 am

SHARK aka TAH

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906 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 4:53 am

SHARK aka TAH

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To Catch A Trader

907 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 8:11 am

RoomGirl


Manager - Equity Analytics
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hi shark, thank you very much for your new videos.  cheers cheers 

908 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 9:54 am

SHARK aka TAH

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909 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 12:05 pm

stevenapple


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@fireshelter wrote:How  can i add point to reputation

Ok. I will give one to you. Smile Smile Smile 

910 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 6:49 pm

NC

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SHARK wrote:
@ shark, I see bullish bat on lgl.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
AB leg is the retracement of 0.5 of XA leg.
BC leg is the retracement of 0.76 of AB leg
CD leg is the extension of 1.61 of BC leg.
Blue pichfork is standard and LML @ 34 (SUP)( I also keep believing this LML may not break)
Red Line is the LML of Schiff pitchfork @ 33.5 (Sup)
D point is around November -December.
correct me if I'm wrong with this pattern. However, this pattern may fail break of AC leg.

Note: This chart is for only educational purpose and not representing any buy/sell recommendation or any such hint.


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911 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 23, 2014 10:49 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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dear NC,
I have a Butterfly bearish to complete at 38rs.
For this to be validated we need current leg to test rs34 and shoot to 38rs Smile

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

it would be interesting to see your long term reversal verses mine.
rs 38 will be still below last HIGH that is exactly 88.6on fib so your bullish bat pattern may still be valid by then as long as it does not break 100% fib

912 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sun Aug 24, 2014 3:53 am

dougieboy


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Hello NC,
You seem to be quiet knowledgable about charting. Good. Curios to know where were you all this time ? I see you opened account recently.

Anyway keep giving support to Shark. It good .


SHARK wrote:dear NC,
I have a Butterfly bearish to complete at 38rs.
For this to be validated we need current leg to test rs34 and shoot to 38rs Smile

[url=/image_preview.php?i=100&u=18820041][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/url]

it would be interesting to see your long term reversal verses mine.
rs 38 will be still below last HIGH that is exactly 88.6on fib so your bullish bat pattern may still be valid by then as long as it does not break 100% fib

913 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sun Aug 24, 2014 4:09 am

dougieboy


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Shark,

Though some of us were silent , we all watched what you said and did and also wrote in the forum .
So no need to explain.

Just keep doing your chart thing, which is what you are good at. Good luck.



SHARK wrote:Thanks for all the lovely comments.

Yes DG Gintonic & DB.
I have never been in Bad Acts ... please ..all i have done was to safeguard our SLEF.
If you were referring to the recent spat  Wink 
I do not wish to revisit it..... & Thanks for saying that btw.

BTW my youtube videos have hit 200 views i guess Very Happy
Regards
SHARK

914 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sun Aug 24, 2014 9:34 am

NC

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@ Shark, We can see which pattern will win in near future !!! Chrz Very Happy Very Happy 
@ Dougieboy, I found this forum recently. before I join this, the biggest issue I had was, picking up good trending stocks, you know I cannot watch every company chart. But, this forum is a great place to pick up good stocks and understand many views of investors, if you're knowledgeable. Since we're part time investors/traders we haven't any communication with other investors, hence this's great place to share our knowledge, experiences, and educational materials, if people use this properly.
@ Admins: Before, I join this, I had my own database with some formulas, in order to pick good stocks, I have to update it every day, thus it wasn't much helpful. Even though, I find better stocks than what's recommend by broker, so I don't have much confidence about broker. hehehh. But after joining here, many issues has solved, especially, picking up good stocks and so I had a good return than earlier. Very Happy
So I strongly belive, Administrators/Moderators will do their best to keep the quality, trust and transparency of SLEF and do research and posting good ones in future too...

- Goodluck
  NC


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

915 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sun Aug 24, 2014 9:42 am

dougieboy


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@dougieboy wrote:Shark,

Though some of us were silent , we all watched what you said and did and also wrote in the forum .
So no need to explain as we know how you behaved.

Just keep doing your chart thing, which is what you are good at. Good luck.



SHARK wrote:Thanks for all the lovely comments.

Yes DG Gintonic & DB.
I have never been in Bad Acts ... please ..all i have done was to safeguard our SLEF.
If you were referring to the recent spat  Wink 
I do not wish to revisit it..... & Thanks for saying that btw.

BTW my youtube videos have hit 200 views i guess Very Happy
Regards
SHARK

916 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sun Aug 24, 2014 10:41 am

SHARK aka TAH

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@NC wrote:@ Shark, We can see which pattern will win in near future !!! Chrz Very Happy Very Happy 
@ Dougieboy, I found this forum recently. before I join this, the biggest issue I had was, picking up good trending stocks, you know I cannot watch every company chart. But, this forum is a great place to pick up good stocks and understand many views of investors, if you're knowledgeable. Since we're part time investors/traders we haven't any communication with other investors, hence this's great place to share our knowledge, experiences, and educational materials, if people use this properly.
@ Admins: Before, I join this, I had my own database with some formulas, in order to pick good stocks, I have to update it every day, thus it wasn't much helpful. Even though, I find better stocks than what's recommend by broker, so I don't have much confidence about broker. hehehh. But after joining here, many issues has solved, especially, picking up good stocks and so I had a good return than earlier. Very Happy
So I strongly belive, Administrators/Moderators will do their best to keep the quality, trust and transparency of SLEF and do research and posting good ones in future too...

- Goodluck
  NC

Thanks NC for all the chart readings you are doing for us.
Your sharing of same will enable us to see from different angles. And this would really great.
If one analyses our old HPP posted in the forum, most counters have fullfilled our expectations 7 out 10.
Thats a very good ratio.
Example
LFIN,JKH,TPL,SFS,PLC,SHL,SPSL20 to name few.
Whilst some are in near completion...
If 1 analyses from beginning to end the TA&C thread they will personally see what i am seeing.

@NC - Please also check the ChartSchool website to get a understanding about conventional Chart Patterns like, Head & Shoulder, Symmetrical Triangle, Ascending, Descending,Flag, Rounding bottom,DTop & Dbottom etc.

This has immensely helped me to see most shares reacting to various charts pattern apart from HPP.

Its always good for us to spend time on few good shares and to monitor its path, this way can maximise profit Very Happy
I am happy to note you are doing a great job, and keep it up.
@DB - A Big Thank you... what else could i say Very Happy ....

in my opinion we should have max 10 or 20 counters depending on PF size.

Thanks for all your support & for keeping the forum trouble free Very Happy btw
SHARK

917 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Aug 25, 2014 12:45 am

SHARK aka TAH

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918 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Aug 25, 2014 2:27 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Buy-and-hold investing is impossible

For years, there have been two principle adjectives used to describe the buy-and-hold investment style: Dead or alive.

The buy-and-hold style was, of course, labeled as dead during and after the financial crisis of 2008, when anyone who stayed with their investments saw their portfolios get cut in half.

The same style is purportedly now alive and well, as anyone who stuck it out after their losses — or jumped into the market after the turmoil — has seen a years-long rally that has recouped the losses and reached record highs.

Truthfully, the problem may be less with the style and more with the adjectives, because at least one leading money manager and behavioral finance expert now suggests that buy-and-hold is unrealistic and impossible.
This week, Natixis Global Asset Management committed $1 million to a three-year research project by the Laboratory for Financial Engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology to help figure out how investors can bridge the emotional gap between a desire to generate superior investment returns and an aversion to taking risk.

In discussing the project, Andrew W. Lo, director of the Laboratory for Financial Engineering — and manager of the ASG Diversifying Strategies fund , , a Natixis issue — noted that the research is designed to tackle the really tough part of investing, the one where you put your hand back in the fire after you’ve been burned.

Standard advice typically amounts to “the market will be up in the long run,” encouraging buy-and-hold for decades.

“That might sound like good advice because on paper when you take a look at the S&P over the last 10, 20 or 30 years the performance looks pretty good the longer you go,” Lo said during an appearance on “MoneyLife with Chuck Jaffe.” “The problem is that advice is just not realistic. You can’t expect an investor to live through 2008-2009 and be perfectly happy to see their investments decline by 50 percent.

“You literally would have lost half…nobody is going to be rational to the point of not taking that information and reacting to it,” he added. “We are all emotional in that context.”

As a dedicated long-term investor, I can argue that point empirically by looking at my own portfolio, which went through the financial crisis virtually unchanged, with just a few small moves on the fringes but with the primary investments remaining the same.

I can also think back to those rough market times, however, and remember the nausea as the core of my portfolio was being gutted.

That emotion, in hindsight, is precisely why pure buy-and-hold can be, for most people, unrealistic.

Whether it is making moves on the edge of a portfolio or hiring a money manager who adapts and tries to guide the portfolio, it’s basic human nature to want to avoid pain.

Lo compared it to a different human imperative.

“It’s not credible to say to an investor, ‘Here’s a stock index fund, you ought to just keep your money in it and don’t worry about it and leave it there for 10 or 20 years,’” he said. “That’s like telling a teenager he or she ought to abstain; it might be reasonable advice in the long run, but in the short run it’s very difficult to follow.”
No matter what strategy investors opt to follow — whether it is buy-and-hold or some rapid-trading, momentum-driven methodology — the necessary personal ingredient for success is emotional discipline, the ability to stick it out.

C. Thomas Howard, director of research at AthenaInvest and author of “Behavioral Portfolio Management,” told me recently that the biggest problem investors face comes in accepting an investment strategy and following it as it is; they pick a strategy that they understand and like, follow it easily during good times, but then have a tough time the moment they question a trade, a stock pick or the results in the market.

“You can’t invest like a great investor if you’re not investing just like that investor,” Howard said. “You start to think you know better, or that there’s just this one thing they are doing that you don’t like, and suddenly you are changing. Now you are not following a successful system, you are modifying one; that may work out for you, or it may not.”

Howard noted that by cherry-picking the parts of a methodology they like — but ignoring or changing moves they’re less comfortable with — investors typically give themselves the wrong scapegoat for when something goes wrong. Invariably, they blame the adviser, newsletter editor, investment service or guru for failing when it was their own moves that altered the strategy.

“There’s lots of ways to make money in the stock market, to be successful,” Howard said. “The key is that you have got to master your emotions, follow a narrowly defined strategy, and consistently take only high-conviction positions over time.”

Bring that back to the buy-and-hold strategy and recognize that the market is going to test your conviction. Ultimately, that’s what leads Lo to say that buy-and-hold forever can’t be done, even if most behavioral-finance guys say that it’s the strategy investors might benefit the most from.

That said, investors need to do some self-examination and perhaps give their portfolio several different approaches, one where the core of their holdings is something as simple as buy-and-hold, but where there is enough money being invested in other ways that it creates enough conviction to stay invested in good times and bad.

In the end, it may not be that buy-and-hold is dead, impossible or unrealistic so much as it’s that one piece of a puzzle for those investors who stomach it as one strategy in a multi-pronged attempt to come up with a portfolio they can live with in all market conditions; if you can’t live with buy-and-hold when it feels more like a fruitless duck-and-cover play — if you don’t think you can witness the carnage of 2008 all over again and remain invested — then you need to prepare for the days when the market again punishes buy-and-holders.

Knowing that now means you can protect against a downturn; finding out too late guarantees that your story will include the worst outcomes at the worst times.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-and-hold-is-impossible-2014-07-25

919 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Aug 25, 2014 11:45 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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Will LLUB Test 335 and then Touch Last High 375 with an extension to 500 Very Happy in the period ahead.

920 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Aug 26, 2014 11:16 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Kabba,
Regarding ASIY i think you need not worry. Could be increasing Public Holding. If you seen from below 9% as per latest it has increased to 10.5% or something in line with SEC requirements.

921 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Aug 26, 2014 11:19 am

SHARK aka TAH

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http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/668_1408590189052.pdf

Interesting LLUB research report by Copal.Available on CSE website.Published for the benefit of Retailers. All copyrights belong to respective owners.

922 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 27, 2014 8:21 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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SHARK wrote:


Since some are feeling edgy on the ASI breaking 7000 and whither ASI, i thought of doing another video on All Share Price Index.
This is not to cause you panic but to be aware of what may happen should the trend start correcting before the move towards 7500.

We should anticipate some corrections given the MACD indicating a negative divergence.

The correction could happen now or at 7500 so please have enough cash ready to load your portfolio Very Happy

SHARK

Reposting .... Very Happy

The Rise is not yet over IMO.

7200 -7600 Are critical reversal levels, I am more of a bullish toward 7600

With Shot towards 8000+ can not be discounted.

923 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 27, 2014 11:47 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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924 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 27, 2014 11:51 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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Nice song know... i like the rhythm

925 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 12:13 am

Eng Krishantha

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thanks shark...

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