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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Charts & Graphs » Technical Journal Book of NC

Technical Journal Book of NC

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1 Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Sep 08, 2014 6:17 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
First topic message reminder :

The objective of this thread is for application,record keeping, review, evaluate and study of my own technical readings. So, in long term it benefited in making sharp our analysis throughout time to time evaluation and mistakes. This thread is for educational purpose only.
Any one can free to comment,post their own readings, and discuss, so we can learn altogether. And I do not wish to give any buy or sell recommendation through out this thread.


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

161 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Tue Nov 04, 2014 10:38 am

NC


Expert - Technical Analysis
Thanx VP...
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

162 UBC & PABC on Tue Nov 04, 2014 11:01 am

hlsindrajith


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@SHARK aka TAH wrote:LIOC to extend over 50+

OSEA,TJL,PLC JINS and VONE will go to next level

VPEL to the next level Very Happy

CTBL ASIY to next level

Their are other shares too will slowly move, but i am following these only.

In Finance Sector
SFIN UBC

UBC thogh over valued seem to hold on future expectations.

UBC & PABC have almost same speculation level but the lowest share prices of a Bank now. The management involved in both companies are capable of value creation. The leverage created is also favourable for rise of price. I believe in the middle term these two are one of the best because CB consolidation process definitely made the Banks less competitive and therefore the Banks are able to make profits sustainably. Apart from those who now hold shares are also influential. The return in these circumstances may probably over 25%. This is my opinion. Can any one critically analyze Please

163 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 07, 2014 4:41 pm

NC


Expert - Technical Analysis

164 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sun Nov 09, 2014 3:23 pm

fff4sl


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks for the CSD.N Analysis Mr.NC...

165 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Nov 10, 2014 6:50 am

NC


Expert - Technical Analysis
@fff4sl wrote:Thanks for the CSD.N Analysis Mr.NC...

Though the interim report is good and break 15, still the run hasn't started. Therefore, it may have tendency to dip again closer to 14. (Apx.) Bcz 15 has become the 50% retracement and big buyer(s) waiting around 14.
So, lets see. Keep your STP @ just below 14/-. Bcz, Market doesn't always react as we expect..
Very Happy

166 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Nov 10, 2014 1:43 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
CFVF.N vs ESL.N:
The co-relation


[You must be
registered and logged in to see this image.]
Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

167 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 13, 2014 3:27 pm

dow

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Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
ACL Very Happy Basketball

168 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 13, 2014 5:30 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
@dow wrote:ACL Very Happy Basketball
Here you go.. Very Happy
ACL.N:

Longterm view on ACL.N:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Now its passing a crucial Tech. area, until it clearly break 80/-.  
If so, Mid term targets range is 95 - 110.
Keep your STP or lock your profits @ 70.

5 yrs history Res/Sup area:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

169 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 14, 2014 5:45 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

170 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 14, 2014 8:13 pm

SHARK aka TAH

avatar
Expert
Expert
@NC wrote:
@dow wrote:ACL Very Happy Basketball
Here you go.. Very Happy
ACL.N:

Longterm view on ACL.N:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Now its passing a crucial Tech. area, until it clearly break 80/-.  
If so, Mid term targets range is 95 - 110.
Keep your STP or lock your profits @ 70.

5 yrs history Res/Sup area:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Very Happy
Thank you

171 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 14, 2014 10:50 pm

fff4sl

avatar
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Mr.NC
give me a review about CTLD. Current price is less than NAV & expecting a dividend???

172 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 14, 2014 10:51 pm

fff4sl

avatar
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Mr.NC
give me a review about CTLD. Current price is less than NAV & expecting a dividend???

173 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sun Nov 16, 2014 5:33 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
@fff4sl wrote:Mr.NC
give me a review about CTLD. Current price is less than NAV & expecting a dividend???

Here's my Tech view on CTLD.N and I'hv no idea about their dividends announcements...
CTLD.N:

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Channel with eliliot wave; All time history.
Looks its running its 5th leg, which the two targets completed @ 35 and 44 @ 1.61 Fib.ext. The next is to complete is @ 57 the 2.61 fib.ext. With comparing with elliotwave channel, the targets can be taken 50-56. However, its completes the Lin. channel with the hit of 50 as at today hence could be act as a Res which can be taken as a target by sellers. With time period analysis target can be taken as mid term.
Keep your STP or lock your profits just below @ 38.
Very Happy
-


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

174 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Nov 17, 2014 6:22 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
Shark vs Octopus: Very Happy



Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

175 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Nov 17, 2014 6:27 pm

Gainer

avatar
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
please can you Analysis AGST.N

What is the short term target.

Thankyou

176 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Nov 17, 2014 6:37 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
@Gainer wrote:please can you Analysis AGST.N

What is the short term target.

Thankyou
Still there's no a clear pattern except the double bottom @ 4.2 and the negative divergence of MACD. Hence short term targets can be taken as 6 or 7. And 6 will be a Res.
Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

177 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Nov 17, 2014 7:24 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

178 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 20, 2014 8:08 am

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
I hope to do some review after 3 months starting of my Journal Book as its one my objective stated at the beginning.


Sym: LIOC.N
Date: 20/08/2014
Price: 40/-
Target: 65/-
Gain:  37.5%
Period : less than 3 months (ST)
URL: http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t36006-lioc-harmonics

@NC wrote:Nice pattern is forming on LIOC chart.
C point around 39 -38.5
D - 44
Will see the validity of this pattern within next few weeks.>>> Basketball

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Sym: GLAS.N
Date: 16/09/2014
Price: 4.00
Target: 6 (Pending)
Gain: 24% (@ CMP)
Period: 2 months

@NC wrote:Glas Analysis: Review
@NC wrote:
@NC wrote:
@NC wrote:GLAS.N ; Analysis
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t36330-glasn
GLAS.N ; Analysis Cont'd
count on EW
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
I think "c" leg possibly end 4 or 4.2 or 4.4
Closer look of Glas.n
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
sometimes, it could be a-b-c-d-e correction based on ascending traingle, untill price level 4 is not break.
The a-b-c-d-e correction was null as the break of price level 4 on today...
Pattern completed sucessfully, with the break of 4.4.
And 5-3-5 zigzag correction (a-b-c) is null. Its sure this is a impulse.
Very Happy Very Happy cheers cheers

@NC wrote:Glas Analysis; (28/10/2014)

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Successful completion of HPP pattern and seems end of its 3rd leg. After the pattern completion we sold, now its time to look again for its 5th leg on EW.
It did 38.2% Fib retracement. ( The classical Ret: of 4th leg.)
Targets for the 5th leg is given.
T1: 4.9 - 5 ; Double top (should be with careful at this level)
T2: 5.3 -5.4
T3: 6
Generally we can look for return above 20%. With a minimum risk (5%) of STP @ 4.4/-(Weekly S1.)
Bcz Weekly PP @ 4.5. And Yesterday has closed above the Weekly pivot is a good bullish sign.
Further, in fundamentally, the reduction of electricity prices for industries and fuel prices could hope some more profits on Glas in future..
Very Happy

Sym: DPL.N
Date: 18/09/2014
Price: 14/-
Target: 18/- (20 pending)
Gain: 28.5%
Period: 2 months

@NC wrote:
@NC wrote:Analysis: DPL.N
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

In longterm view, bear trend is reversed with the break of LH (24), since after that there's no any new LL. So, all the other movements are just noises.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Closer look of Dpl.n:
There's a HPP. so, the target is 20.
According to Schiff pitchfork, it shows a nice channel. The 50% line (ML) has achived @15. Currrently, there's a resistant. (the 50% line). Hence, it can have a pull back. 100% line (UPL)  @ 18.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Intraday view of Dpl.n:
As said by above chart, ML is a resistant, as you can see the double top @ 14.7. On the other hand, there's an ascending traingal. So, anything could be possible, in next couple of days. on  short term elliotwave counting I think it will do a correction, around 13.5.

Res: 15, 18, 20
Sup: 14, 13.5 , 12. (Be aware if it break 12, a good support)

Analysis; DPL (cont'd)

Recently, 14.5 resistant was break so, intraday ascending triangle, break upward.
So, I did a EW count on DPL, for short term outlook.
seems it s running 5th leg, as you can see in the diagram it could either end at 15 or 16 or 18. Very Happy

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Sym: BERU.N
Date: 17/09/2014
Price: 2.5/-
STP: 2.2/-
Gain: ( 12%)

Review: Beru is weak with fundamentals. Safe to trade with fundamentally sounded stocks.

@NC wrote:Analysis: Beru.N
Note: Beru is not a fundamentally strong share and its illiquid.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
There's a nice harmonic pattern in long term toward Rs.3 and Rs.4. And pitchfork shows the same direction.
The current resistant 2.5 (last LH) is crucial to break out the box with a high volume to confirm the trend reversal. If, so it will 3 and retest 2.5.
However, retracement could be possible around 2 on this stage. before break 2.5.
Supports: 2.2, 1.9 and 1.7 (schiff Fork). If it break 1.6 (LL) game is over.
Illquidty is another issue in these type of analysis.
We will see with the time....>>> Very Happy  Very Happy
Note: Beru is not a fundamentally strong share and its illiquid. This's anlysis for education purpose only.

Sym: KAPI.N
Date: 28/10/2014
Price: 55/-
Gain: 45.5% (@ CMP)
Period: Less than 1 month.


@NC wrote:Kapi:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Small HPP can see in daily Kapi chart. Its 1st target is almost completed. Though its small, its potential to make a new HH to 60. Even with its right issue the counter has become attractive, and having a good buying pressure.
Fundamentally, strong and undervalued share. Thus with the 2015 budget construction companies are favored and large scale of constructions're proposed.
Very Happy

Sym: JINS.N
Date: 31/10/2014
Price: 22/-
Gain: 13.6% (CMP)


@NC wrote:JINS.N:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

VFIN.N:

@NC wrote:Analysis: Vfin.N

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Low risk entry point @ 46, with the Sym. triangle with STP (stoploss) @ 46.
Targets 50, 55, 60
Very Happy

EXIT with Break even. (Broker fee)

Pendings:
Namu.N
Date: 28/10/2014
Price:88/-
P/L: Floating.

@NC wrote:Namu Analysis:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Namu is a fundamentally strong and undervalued company. Accroding to 2 years of history reading, seems its moving in a channel, as showed in the chart. A small double bottom could be identified and could ba taken as a good support and a STP.
Further, Namu is popular for its diversified crops. Mainly on Oil Palms. Continuous highest earnings even other palntation recroded lower earnings.
Thus, its attractive to investors on its higher dividends. The, con is its somewhat illquid.

CSD.N:
Date: 03/11/2014
Price: 15/-
P/L: Folating.

@NC wrote:
@NC wrote:
@fff4sl wrote:Mr.NC
Why u said to kit with CSD? Any div or sin stat out???
I don't know about it and I didn't meant it.
I wanna say, Good entry points coming soon... Very Happy
I was waited for today... Very Happy

CSD.N: Analysis

Here's the 5 years history view.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Csd is moving in a long term channel. With the Hpp its completed it 16/- the first target and hit the ML. Then it retest some support. The 14/- was a good support as it's the 50% horizontal line there. And it is retested nicely.
Targets are;
S/T (short term) - 16 (Double top and 50% ML)
M/T - 21/- (75% line and 2.61 fib.ext),
L/T- 24-25/-. (100% UML)

Here's the one year view of CSD;
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

If you clearly observed there's a small hpp. With todays break of 15/- its mostly confirmed and its good bullish sign. It could make double top at HH - 16.2/- the critical Res.
If it clearly break it'll easily move towards 21/-.

-GL
Very Happy


Summary: Gain

LIOC.N: 37.5%
GLAS.N: 24%
DPL.N: 28.5%
BERU.N: (12%)
KAPI.N: 45.5%
JINS.N: 13.6%

Total: 137%
Period: Less than 3 Months


Very Happy
CHRZ
cheers

It's fine to celebrate success but it is more important to heed the lessons of failure.
- Bill Gates

"Success is a lousy teacher. It seduces smart people into thinking they can't lose."
- Bill Gates


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

179 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 20, 2014 8:40 am

Eng Krishantha

avatar
Expert
Expert
well done..

180 CFIN on Thu Nov 20, 2014 9:25 am

visvajith


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Mr.NC
give me a review about CFIN

181 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 20, 2014 6:42 pm

zoozzoo


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
total 137% gain within 3 months cheers cheers cheers Basketball

182 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 20, 2014 7:18 pm

zoozzoo


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
NC... how did you calculate gain of each counter? Shocked Rolling Eyes Question

183 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 20, 2014 7:32 pm

fff4sl

avatar
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Impressive...

184 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 20, 2014 7:43 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
@zoozzoo wrote:NC... how did you calculate gain of each counter? Shocked Rolling Eyes Question
zoozoo don't get mess, its not from the initial capital. Instead I review the profitability in order to check whether the strategy is profitable in selected period of time.
So, in case of return from the initial capital, if we allocate same amount for each counter it will be 23% gain for the period for last 3 months. (137/600)


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

185 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 20, 2014 8:15 pm

BudzW


Stock Trader
Hats off to you mate...
Thanx heaps for your valuable contributions to the forum and to us.... Very Happy Very Happy

186 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 20, 2014 11:43 pm

Gainer

avatar
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@NC wrote:
@Gainer wrote:please can you Analysis AGST.N

What is the short term target.

Thankyou
Still there's no a clear pattern except the double bottom @ 4.2 and the negative divergence of MACD. Hence short term targets can be taken as  6 or 7. And 6 will be a Res.
Very Happy
NC thanks

AGST went up 6.20 and came down 5.80 but strong buy at 5.80 today
Can you do the chart and next target price.

thanks.

187 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 21, 2014 9:07 am

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
Analysis: COLO.N

Tech view:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

According to DOW theory the counter has break its accumulation phase at 120 which was accumulating nearly 2 years with confirmation with recent big volumes more than 300k. And it again retest the support 120, which was the Res in the previous phase. Hence, now, we could expect the Expansion phase, at a target of at least 190 - 200. ARes. can be expected at 150 level.

Fundamental:

NAV = 235/-
Annualized EPS = 37/-
P/E = 3.7
Valuation of share = Rs. 442/- ( Graham)
CMP = 138/-

Company profile: ( Micro view)

Key business area;  Automobile Engineers, Importers and Retailers of Vehicles, Motor spares & accessories.

Colonial Mortors:
Authorized distributor for Mazda vehicles in Sri Lanka and Maldives of importing, distributing, servicing of Mazda vehicles and spare parts. And provide a range of spare parts for Mazda, Land Rover & TATA vehicles.
KIA Motors:
Authorized distributor for KIA vehicles in Sri Lanka of importing, distributing, servicing of KIA vehicles and spare parts.
Kia Motors (Lanka) Ltd. was adjudged Kia’s ‘Distributor of Distinction’ in acknowledgement of ‘Professionalism of the Highest Degree and Outstanding Sales Performance in the Asia Region. KIA is one of the highest selling brands in the Sports Utility (SUV) segment in Sri Lanka with the Kia Sorento and the Kia Sportage.

C.M.Holdoing subsidiaries:

Car Plan Ltd.
Union Investment
KIA Motors
Guardian Asset Management
Colonial Motors

Looks good future ahead.
- GL
Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

188 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 21, 2014 2:25 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
@visvajith wrote:Mr.NC
give me a review about CFIN
Hold this this is a future winner..
At least it should above 300. Target range in short to midterm 300 - 320. Long term this should have to go a long journey...
Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

189 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 21, 2014 2:35 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
@Gainer wrote:
@NC wrote:
@Gainer wrote:please can you Analysis AGST.N

What is the short term target.

Thankyou
Still there's no a clear pattern except the double bottom @ 4.2 and the negative divergence of MACD. Hence short term targets can be taken as  6 or 7. And 6 will be a Res.
Very Happy
NC thanks

AGST went up 6.20 and came down 5.80 but strong buy at 5.80 today
Can you do the chart and next target price.

thanks.
@ Gainer we have to wait and see untill the chart do so clearly...


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

190 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 21, 2014 2:49 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
@NC wrote:
@Gainer wrote:
@NC wrote:
@Gainer wrote:please can you Analysis AGST.N

What is the short term target.

Thankyou
Still there's no a clear pattern except the double bottom @ 4.2 and the negative divergence of MACD. Hence short term targets can be taken as  6 or 7. And 6 will be a Res.
Very Happy
NC thanks

AGST went up 6.20 and came down 5.80 but strong buy at 5.80 today
Can you do the chart and next target price.

thanks.
@ Gainer we have to wait and see untill the chart do so clearly...

Or else we can do something like this.. we can count the swing points..unfortunately I cannot calculate weekly swings via DFN since there's no pivot point indicator. So, better to contact Shark..
On my zigzag view privous LH @ 8. and as I told you earlier only Reversal pattern is the double bottom.
Or else we've to wait another around 3 months to see a clear HPP.


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

191 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 21, 2014 6:10 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
Forget political game and Time to listen for the weekend song... Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

192 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sat Nov 22, 2014 5:40 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
50's Rock & Roll mix... Very Happy
Fataw dance...>>>


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

193 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Thu Nov 27, 2014 7:07 pm

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
ASI (27/11/2014) - Intraday Outlook

Its hard to identify a positive sign in this intraday bear trend. 24th morning extreme panic selling or a manipulation has done (orange circled) but soon again it was up around 100 correcting it. And still keep its moving in rose colored channel.
However, it could identify some two positive signs:
1. Price moving between UML & ML
2. RSI negative momentum/trend line break, which cannot be seen at the graph. Hence, its good sign of a potential trend reversal in favor of bullish.

However, ultimate result expecting from above two is the break of 7200-7250 in coming days. And it'll give a another direction, a good direction for ASI hopefully.
And if there isn't a bad news untill the break of 7200 - 7250 its a win for bulls. So, lets hope..!! Very Happy
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]


-GL
Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

194 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Fri Nov 28, 2014 10:11 pm

Gainer

avatar
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@NC wrote:ASI (27/11/2014) - Intraday Outlook

Its hard to identify a positive sign in this intraday bear trend. 24th morning extreme panic selling or a manipulation has done (orange circled) but soon again it was up around 100 correcting it. And still keep its moving in rose colored channel.
However, it could identify some two positive signs:
1. Price moving between UML & ML
2. RSI negative momentum/trend line break, which cannot be seen at the graph. Hence, its good sign of a potential trend reversal in favor of bullish.

However, ultimate result expecting from above two is the break of 7200-7250 in coming days. And it'll give a another direction, a good direction for ASI hopefully.
And if there isn't a bad news untill the break of 7200 - 7250 its a win for bulls. So, lets hope..!! Very Happy
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-G
Realy Appreciated

195 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sat Nov 29, 2014 8:06 am

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
Thnx gainer... Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

196 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sat Nov 29, 2014 8:07 am

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
Yesterday ASI was up by few points but it's still not sufficient for a trend reversal. As I showed in the graph its still moving its previous channel.
However, there're potentials of trend reversals,
RSI momentum trendline break @ 27/11/2014, and yesterday it was confirmed by the main graph. So its a good win for bulls. Very Happy Chrz  cheers

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Now its passing crucial level, 7180-7200 is a Res and if it enter to 7250 to level is the potential trend reversal level I belive. So, next couple of days will be critical. Only thing I'm worried about political storm which could break this baby bull appearing in intraday chart.
So, Politicians plz wait untill we pass this crucial area.... Exclamation
And I was also looking at A-B-C correction in intraday chart...

And this is the channel I'm lookin for the next week... Lets have a hope..>> Very Happy

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- GL
Very Happy


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

197 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sat Nov 29, 2014 8:33 am

aran

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Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
NC,ur great ur technical analyses are mind blowing Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

198 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sat Nov 29, 2014 9:52 am

goldenboy

avatar
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks NC.
Really appreciated your valuable feedback.

GB
B+

199 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sat Nov 29, 2014 10:06 am

RPPA


Expert
Expert
Good Job. NC.

For me the last kick in friday had some force in it.So i expect monday to be very good.But i have my doubts on tuesday from my technical analysis.I expect people to realise some profits & later will gather steam slowly.

For me now the the political crossovers will not have big negative impact (provided the big fellow does not sell). It it happens again it will in a smaller scale.

RPPA


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extraordinary results.”

200 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Sat Nov 29, 2014 11:43 am

CARACALLA

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Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
gr8 job.nc

201 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Dec 01, 2014 6:31 am

glad


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
What do you think the ASI will come down to if it starts to drop?

202 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Dec 01, 2014 7:00 am

NC

avatar
Expert - Technical Analysis
@glad wrote:What do you think the ASI will come down to if it starts to drop?
@ Glad, still the ASI moving in blue colured channel. Hence, nothing is confirmed yet for a reversal. As I said above, for me I want at least to be hit 7250.
On the other hand if it clearly break 7000 (23%), I'm looking at 38.2% level; 6900-6850. And I'm expecting a flat correction less than 50%.


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

203 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Dec 01, 2014 9:22 am

glad


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@NC wrote:
@glad wrote:What do you think the ASI will come down to if it starts to drop?
@ Glad, still the ASI moving in blue colured channel. Hence, nothing is confirmed yet for a reversal. As I said above, for me I want at least to be hit 7250.
On the other hand if it clearly break 7000 (23%), I'm looking at 38.2% level; 6900-6850. And I'm expecting a flat correction less than 50%.  
NC.
Thanks for your thoughts

204 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Dec 01, 2014 1:16 pm

RPPA


Expert
Expert
@NC wrote:
@glad wrote:What do you think the ASI will come down to if it starts to drop?
@ Glad, still the ASI moving in blue colured channel. Hence, nothing is confirmed yet for a reversal. As I said above, for me I want at least to be hit 7250.
On the other hand if it clearly break 7000 (23%), I'm looking at 38.2% level; 6900-6850. And I'm expecting a flat correction less than 50%.  

NC

We are approaching your 7,250. Very Happy

Hopefully now NC will be bit confident then.


_________________
“It is not necessary to do extraordinary things to get
extraordinary results.”

205 Re: Technical Journal Book of NC on Mon Dec 01, 2014 2:48 pm

Gainer

avatar
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@NC wrote:ASI (27/11/2014) - Intraday Outlook

Its hard to identify a positive sign in this intraday bear trend. 24th morning extreme panic selling or a manipulation has done (orange circled) but soon again it was up around 100 correcting it. And still keep its moving in rose colored channel.
However, it could identify some two positive signs:
1. Price moving between UML & ML
2. RSI negative momentum/trend line break, which cannot be seen at the graph. Hence, its good sign of a potential trend reversal in favor of bullish.

However, ultimate result expecting from above two is the break of 7200-7250 in coming days. And it'll give a another direction, a good direction for ASI hopefully.
And if there isn't a bad news untill the break of 7200 - 7250 its a win for bulls. So, lets hope..!! Very Happy
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-GL
Very Happy
NC Thanks,  Now your Execllent target already break and what about your next Target ASI ?

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